Sunday, November 25, 2012
Saturday, November 24, 2012
機率問題
Q: 有一試劑對某疾病有九成五的正確性，此疾病每千人有一人感染。
你測得的結果為陽性，你得病的機率為多少？
A: 2%（若測一千人，有五十人會是陽性，而只有一人得此病。）
為什麼測一千人會有五十人是陽性？
你測得的結果為陽性，你得病的機率為多少？
A: 2%（若測一千人，有五十人會是陽性，而只有一人得此病。）
為什麼測一千人會有五十人是陽性？
Thursday, November 8, 2012
Friday, November 2, 2012
Padfone 2
Don't expect me like those tech geeks sharing professional article. Here I just want to list out why I bought it and how it use after all.
This one is the first smartphone bought by myself, must I pay so much attention to optimize my utility, subject to my constraint. In the first place, I want to buy Iphone 5, the reason just like others. Also, I want to buy a pad for reading. I was thinking about buying a kindle paperwhite ($about NT$ 3500) plus Iphone 5. However, I don't whether it is NCC's faults or Apple, I couldn't fucking wait any longer. At this time, here comes the Padfone 2 from Asus. The sincerity and the cheap price ( same Ram capacity, like 16G, padfone2 is the same price as Iphone 5, I don't need to buy a pad or kindle though.). Comparing few other smartphone, I made my decision.
16G for example
Padfone 2 One X+ Iphone5 fuck yourself HTC J Note II
Price 23900 20900 fuck yourself 16900 22900
CPU 4 core 4 core 2 core (WTF?) 2 core 4 core
Camera 1300 800 800 800 800
Ram 2G 1G 1G 1G 2G
screen size 4.7' 4.7' 4' (???) 4.3' 5.5'
Form the comparing what I care, Iphone 5 can go fuck itself, and I want to decide which of padfone 2 and Note II I want. The choice is clear, I need a pad for reading, so I must choose Padfone 2.
After I got it ( mine is 32G version, and only paid NT$21000 instead of NT$27000 and half 3G prece, I think it is because of NP) , it is very smooth using, doesn't like others after using a while, it becomes slow. I think it's because of the Ram. So now to the point of comparison of Android and iOS. The Android's drawbacks are not from the same system( ? don't really get it, I'm not major in computer science, maybe some others can help me figure it out?) and it supports doing loads of apps at the same time, which slows the using because the ram is small. However, the hardware is upgrade, so the merits of Android comes out.
The great thing is I spent not so much money ( compared to I phone + kindle ) and I got pad, which can play games and lots of other things instead of only reading e-books.
Drawbacks like the speed of taking pics is slower, not so pretty are not affecting me. And I love Padfone 2.
This one is the first smartphone bought by myself, must I pay so much attention to optimize my utility, subject to my constraint. In the first place, I want to buy Iphone 5, the reason just like others. Also, I want to buy a pad for reading. I was thinking about buying a kindle paperwhite ($about NT$ 3500) plus Iphone 5. However, I don't whether it is NCC's faults or Apple, I couldn't fucking wait any longer. At this time, here comes the Padfone 2 from Asus. The sincerity and the cheap price ( same Ram capacity, like 16G, padfone2 is the same price as Iphone 5, I don't need to buy a pad or kindle though.). Comparing few other smartphone, I made my decision.
16G for example
Padfone 2 One X+ Iphone5 fuck yourself HTC J Note II
Price 23900 20900 fuck yourself 16900 22900
CPU 4 core 4 core 2 core (WTF?) 2 core 4 core
Camera 1300 800 800 800 800
Ram 2G 1G 1G 1G 2G
screen size 4.7' 4.7' 4' (???) 4.3' 5.5'
Form the comparing what I care, Iphone 5 can go fuck itself, and I want to decide which of padfone 2 and Note II I want. The choice is clear, I need a pad for reading, so I must choose Padfone 2.
After I got it ( mine is 32G version, and only paid NT$21000 instead of NT$27000 and half 3G prece, I think it is because of NP) , it is very smooth using, doesn't like others after using a while, it becomes slow. I think it's because of the Ram. So now to the point of comparison of Android and iOS. The Android's drawbacks are not from the same system( ? don't really get it, I'm not major in computer science, maybe some others can help me figure it out?) and it supports doing loads of apps at the same time, which slows the using because the ram is small. However, the hardware is upgrade, so the merits of Android comes out.
The great thing is I spent not so much money ( compared to I phone + kindle ) and I got pad, which can play games and lots of other things instead of only reading e-books.
Drawbacks like the speed of taking pics is slower, not so pretty are not affecting me. And I love Padfone 2.
Sunday, October 21, 2012
What is Love?
Love is commitment.
這是我最近聽到最好的解釋，特別在此紀念。 2012/10/17
若是用人都是從自己出發的利己看法來看的話，怎麼看都是deae-end。
這是我最近聽到最好的解釋，特別在此紀念。 2012/10/17
若是用人都是從自己出發的利己看法來看的話，怎麼看都是deae-end。
A Clockwork Orange
P.27
人被賦予了自由意志，可以由此來選擇善惡。只能行善或者只能作惡的人，就成了發條橘子 ── 也就是說，他的外表是有機物，具有可愛的色彩和汁液，實際上僅僅是發條玩具，由著上帝、魔鬼或無所不能的國家（他日益取代了前兩者）操縱。徹底善與徹底惡一樣沒有人性，重要的是道德選擇權。惡必須與善共存，以便道德選擇權的行使。
sandel 討論串
延續之前例子，有一個人花很久的時間排隊滿演唱會的票，有人出價10萬跟他買，他賣了。你會說，這沒有效益最大化，因為出高價的人沒有排隊排很久的人想看那場演唱會。這樣想我覺得是錯的。因為效益最大化是綜合的考量而非單一事件的陳述，你可以假設排隊的那個人家裡有個重病的女兒，他需要醫療費用，所以他女兒治癒的效果對他來說相當大，綜合考慮的結果，他決定售出他手上的票。
你會覺得怪怪的地方在於，有錢人好像付出了相對較少就得到他想要的，這樣的交換對沒錢的人好像不公平，不過這就是資本主義，用錢去衡量事務。資本主義可怕的地方是任何事物都有一個價錢，大家不能接受，因為這樣不就是富者恆富、窮者恆窮，這也沒有錯，我們身處這樣的社會，我們自己最清楚。但我們能接受嗎？我們一定都會說我們不能接受，但是換個角度想，若你成為了一個當權者、一個有錢人，你不會這樣做嗎？我想你也會的。所以我覺得這不是個人的問題，而是政策的問題，資本主義就是向錢看齊，也比較自由。我們嚐到了資本主義果實下的自由，大家都不能忘懷，較沒錢的人卻不能接受什麼都用錢解釋，這就是人本身的問題了。不過還有一個點，就是我們能夠選擇嗎？我能夠選擇自己生下來是在資本主義或是社會主義的國家嗎？我們能夠選擇自己生在有錢的家族或是沒錢的家庭嗎？我們並不能選擇，那這樣我們要怎麼辦？這個問題超難，我現在都還不能回答。
繼續闡述，我覺得效果最大化是個人經驗累積的產物，隨著我們在生活中累積經驗，我們逐漸找到屬於“我們個人的”效果最大化方式，也因為它牽涉到個人的選擇，人都會被騙，被別人騙也被自己騙，所以我們常常不能做到經濟學所謂的效益最大化選擇。經濟學試圖解釋社會的現象，我們都知道他的模型不是完美的，但是他的科學辦法讓我們能夠有一個參考的依據，不過他用的是統計學的量化辦法，統計能解釋的是母體，解釋個體的能力就沒有那麼好。這次的討論，常常牽涉到個體的選擇，有時候沒有辦法完美解釋我覺得是可以理解的。
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